First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (4 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1082 | 66% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1156 | 53% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 813 | 1174 | 11% | 1997-01-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1144 | 49% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.5 vs 1139 has a 41.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).