First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (5 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1082 | 44% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 1189 | 43% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1283 | 51% | 1998-05-14 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1997-01-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1184.4 has a 32.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).