The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (6 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2005-04-23 | | Won |
| 1159 | 832 | 87% | 2002-12-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2000-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1998-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 1996-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1015.2 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).