The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (6 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1251 | 1038 | 77% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1077 | 833 | 80% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1021 | 56% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1026 | 52% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 950 | 63% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1153 | 1077 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1105.5 vs 990.8 has a 65.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).