The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (3 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1273 | 1006 | 82% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
1087 | 1117 | 46% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1105 vs 1068.7 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).