First Contact, First Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (3 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1124 | 52% | 2024-02-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1096.3 vs 1091.7 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).