Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (3 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
1090 | 1114 | 47% | 2012-08-09 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 973.3 vs 1062.3 has a 37.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).