Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1035 | 65% | 2020-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2016-12-10 | | Won |
| 1096 | 921 | 73% | 2011-11-22 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2004-08-18 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1999-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1020.7 has a 55.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).