Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1200 | 993 | 77% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 963 | 62% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 921 | 73% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 1999-04-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091 vs 986.3 has a 64.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).