Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 964 | 58% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1186 | 993 | 75% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1095 | 921 | 73% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 1999-04-02 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 995.6 has a 63.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).