Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (4 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1096 | 936 | 72% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 987.8 has a 59.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).