Pebbles in the Stream
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 990 | 42% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 970 | 1125 | 29% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
| 894 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-08-23 | Lost |
| 1316 | 977 | 88% | 2006-07-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2005-12-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.8 vs 1042.7 has a 48.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).