The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1147 | 56% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1268 | 41% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 910 | 62% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 1019 | 42% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1329 | 968 | 89% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1152 | 44% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1130 | 48% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1110 | 61% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 830 | 1090 | 18% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1082.8 vs 1090.7 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).