The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1148 | 49% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1256 | 43% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 910 | 52% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1333 | 968 | 89% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1152 | 44% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1130 | 50% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1110 | 54% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
| 830 | 1104 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1089.3 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).