The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-07-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2019-06-20 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2019-06-20 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2017-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2016-05-07 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1141 | 52% | 2010-10-03 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2007-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1122 | 56% | 2004-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1994-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 832 | 1086 | 19% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1073.2 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).