The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (12 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1164 | 55% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1209 | 1256 | 43% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 878 | 909 | 46% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1253 | 968 | 84% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1140 | 48% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1130 | 56% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1110 | 62% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 831 | 1032 | 24% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1081.9 has a 48.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).