The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (10 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1145 | 61% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1209 | 50% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 966 | 911 | 58% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1061 | 30% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1316 | 968 | 88% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1110 | 66% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 847 | 1117 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 1081 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).