The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (13 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1163 | 48% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1328 | 1220 | 65% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 884 | 911 | 46% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1343 | 1161 | 74% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 969 | 56% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1215 | 970 | 80% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 1141 | 48% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1122 | 55% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1110 | 56% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 834 | 1036 | 24% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1076.8 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).