The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1146 | 58% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1209 | 1282 | 40% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 910 | 46% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 945 | 1041 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1340 | 968 | 89% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1151 | 44% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1151 | 31% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1130 | 56% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1110 | 63% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 831 | 1117 | 16% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1097.9 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).