The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 900 | 903 | 50% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1149 | 54% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 903 | 1152 | 19% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1251 | 1242 | 51% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1177 | 28% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 941.3 vs 1101.8 has a 28.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).