The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 903 | 50% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1146 | 55% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 903 | 1138 | 21% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1150 | 64% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1178 | 28% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 957.9 vs 1077.5 has a 33.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).