The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 955 | 61% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 888 | 905 | 48% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1154 | 59% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 905 | 1141 | 20% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1251 | 1220 | 54% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 1216 | 22% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 969.5 vs 1084.2 has a 34.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).