The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 914 | 903 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1154 | 55% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 903 | 1148 | 20% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1252 | 1264 | 48% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1189 | 27% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 969.8 vs 1104.1 has a 31.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).