The Gingerbread Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (5 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German (SS)): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-08-26 | Lost |
| 1176 | 834 | 88% | 2004-01-02 | Won |
| 940 | 1140 | 24% | 2000-10-08 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1344 | 13% | 1998-01-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1113.8 has a 41.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).