The Gingerbread Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1082 | 49% | 2026-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 832 | 87% | 2004-01-02 | | Won |
| 940 | 1141 | 24% | 2000-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1343 | 13% | 1998-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1119.5 has a 40.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).