Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1098 | 32% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1180 | 1050 | 68% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1112 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1236 | 64% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 982 | 943 | 56% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1083 | 56% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 998 | 72% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1097.8 vs 1063.6 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).