Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1151 | 26% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 967 | 61% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1168 | 1029 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1133 | 42% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1239 | 48% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 982 | 944 | 55% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 862 | 84% | 2006-09-30 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1127 | 964 | 72% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.5 vs 1045.7 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).