Out of Ethiopia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (Indian (British)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2014-12-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1200 | 34% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1023 | 71% | 2006-05-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1200.3 vs 1168.7 has a 54.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).