The Orsha Plain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1026 | 84% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1310 | 1031 | 83% | 2008-01-08 | Tied |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1169.8 vs 1069.3 has a 64.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).