Fruit and Nuts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 906 | 72% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1129 | 1085 | 56% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 753 | 1062 | 14% | 2007-09-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1197 | 42% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
| 1062 | 914 | 70% | 2005-04-10 | Won |
| 893 | 1158 | 18% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
| 998 | 913 | 62% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2004-12-20 | Won |
| 1141 | 1127 | 52% | 2003-09-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 998 | 71% | 2002-09-28 | Won |
| 979 | 1060 | 39% | 2002-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1014.3 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).