Fruit and Nuts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 918 | 74% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
1125 | 1075 | 57% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
713 | 999 | 16% | 2007-09-21 | Lost |
1152 | 1196 | 44% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
1152 | 713 | 93% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
999 | 919 | 61% | 2005-04-10 | Won |
898 | 1141 | 20% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
1063 | 914 | 70% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
914 | 1063 | 30% | 2004-12-20 | Won |
1152 | 1110 | 56% | 2003-09-12 | Won |
1154 | 1063 | 63% | 2002-09-28 | Won |
981 | 1063 | 38% | 2002-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1014.5 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).