Lion's Share
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British / French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1002 | 51% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1002 | 1018 | 48% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2003-02-20 | Won |
| 1130 | 1050 | 61% | 2002-12-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 1098 | 53% | 2001-07-12 | Won |
| 1217 | 970 | 81% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
| 1132 | 1163 | 46% | 1998-07-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1106.8 vs 1023.2 has a 61.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).