Lion's Share
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British / French): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1005 | 54% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2003-02-20 | Won |
| 1171 | 1048 | 67% | 2002-12-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1104 | 41% | 2001-07-12 | Won |
| 1022 | 1344 | 14% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 970 | 79% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
| 1136 | 1173 | 45% | 1998-07-25 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1291 | 46% | 1998-03-11 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1123.3 vs 1086.5 has a 55.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).