A Bird in the Hand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 938 | 83% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2014-05-17 | Won |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2007-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 931.2 has a 74.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).