Private Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-01-14 | | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2018-12-11 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1164 | 31% | 2016-12-30 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2007-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2007-09-03 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1140 | 15% | 2003-09-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1001.3 vs 1080 has a 38.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).