A Walk in the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (Italian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-11-02 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
1063 | 960 | 64% | 2005-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1088.8 vs 1062.5 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).