Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1034 | 38% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 935 | 933 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2013-08-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 1020 | 54% | 2012-05-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2007-10-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2007-02-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2006-02-18 | Won |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 914 | 1046 | 32% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-04-15 | Lost |
| 830 | 1189 | 11% | 2003-07-09 | Lost |
| 1044 | 905 | 69% | 1999-03-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Won |
| 985 | 1050 | 41% | 1998-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1039.6 has a 47.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).