Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 966 | 933 | 55% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 977 | 61% | 2013-08-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2012-05-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 994 | 1061 | 40% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1016 | 52% | 2009-12-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-10-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 1068 | 45% | 2007-02-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2006-02-18 | Won |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1057 | 49% | 2004-07-29 | Won |
| 1187 | 1057 | 68% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-04-15 | Lost |
| 831 | 1177 | 12% | 2003-07-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 897 | 74% | 1999-03-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Won |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 1998-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1045.6 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).