The Hornet of Cloville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (12 on the archive and 167 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 108
Defender wins (German): 71
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 1006 | 56% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
1307 | 1039 | 82% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2015-05-10 | Lost |
952 | 1135 | 26% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
946 | 1115 | 27% | 2010-01-28 | Won |
1093 | 1029 | 59% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
1013 | 952 | 59% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
919 | 992 | 40% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
925 | 1106 | 26% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 1997-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1056.3 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).