Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1177 | 29% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1055 | 55% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1139 | 48% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 888 | 1180 | 16% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1040 | 43% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1282 | 756 | 95% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1097 | 840 | 81% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1020 | 82% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 991 | 47% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1073 | 73% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1073 | 47% | 2004-07-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1044 | 61% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 827 | 972 | 30% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1073 | 44% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1073 | 61% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 1997-06-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 923 | 67% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1027.6 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).