Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1241 | 23% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1017 | 61% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 922 | 1264 | 12% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 1076 | 998 | 61% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1266 | 748 | 95% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 840 | 84% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1017 | 81% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1125 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 748 | 78% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 829 | 972 | 31% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1128 | 37% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1128 | 54% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 923 | 66% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1029.3 has a 55.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).