Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1223 | 24% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 983 | 65% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 922 | 1282 | 11% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 1115 | 998 | 66% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1209 | 753 | 93% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1121 | 840 | 83% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 986 | 78% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 971 | 1032 | 41% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1125 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 829 | 972 | 31% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1082 | 43% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1082 | 60% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 923 | 63% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1029.4 has a 55.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).