Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1185 | 28% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1029 | 58% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1130 | 56% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 895 | 1194 | 15% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1059 | 41% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1261 | 731 | 95% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 840 | 79% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1261 | 1022 | 80% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1125 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 856 | 66% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1021 | 51% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2004-07-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1044 | 61% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 827 | 972 | 30% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1073 | 44% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1073 | 61% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1073 | 56% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 1997-06-17 | Won |
| 1010 | 923 | 62% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1017.5 has a 56.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).