Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 988 | 41% | 2026-03-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1178 | 29% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1070 | 56% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1139 | 51% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 900 | 1220 | 14% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1040 | 40% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 750 | 94% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1040 | 839 | 76% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1036 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 943 | 83% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1102 | 32% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2004-07-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1044 | 61% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 827 | 972 | 30% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1233 | 65% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1033 | 1005 | 54% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1005 | 70% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1005 | 65% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 1997-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 923 | 63% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1026.7 has a 55.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).