Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1055 | 46% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1115 | 958 | 71% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1142 | 47% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 926 | 1275 | 12% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 765 | 92% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 841 | 75% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 947 | 80% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 917 | 1071 | 29% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1125 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 953 | 45% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1044 | 58% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 829 | 972 | 31% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1083 | 43% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1083 | 60% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1083 | 52% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 923 | 69% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1019.5 has a 56.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).