An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1059 | 25% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 864 | 75% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 864 | 1059 | 25% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1041 | 45% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 960 | 66% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 1000 | 38% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1028 | 61% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1057 | 39% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 963 | 898 | 59% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1141 | 18% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1075 | 36% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 1075 | 38% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1028 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 999.5 vs 1050.3 has a 42.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).