An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 867 | 997 | 32% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 940 | 69% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 997 | 867 | 68% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 867 | 997 | 32% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 991 | 57% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 967 | 65% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 993 | 39% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1045 | 59% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1239 | 15% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1239 | 15% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1052 | 40% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 896 | 65% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1176 | 15% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1094 | 37% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 1123 | 55% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1045 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1008.9 vs 1054 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).