An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 148 (25 on the archive and 123 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 76
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 884 | 966 | 38% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 996 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 966 | 884 | 62% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 884 | 966 | 38% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1206 | 762 | 93% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 1127 | 30% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 947 | 68% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 916 | 1046 | 32% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1036 | 60% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1113 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1030 | 39% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1197 | 18% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1197 | 18% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 985 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 897 | 65% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1191 | 14% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1021 | 43% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 1021 | 45% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1004 | 63% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1128 | 1119 | 51% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1036 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1029.1 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).