An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 993 | 1033 | 44% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 864 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1125 | 64% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 965 | 65% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 990 | 40% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1010 | 64% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 901 | 1089 | 25% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1254 | 14% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1254 | 14% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1047 | 41% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1023 | 898 | 67% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1135 | 19% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1084 | 35% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 1084 | 37% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1174 | 1123 | 57% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1010 | 45% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1062.4 has a 42.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).