An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1050 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 864 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 864 | 1050 | 26% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1112 | 61% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1076 | 39% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 935 | 69% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 991 | 39% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1057 | 57% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1113 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 877 | 1100 | 22% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 1277 | 13% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 939 | 1277 | 13% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1048 | 40% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 896 | 65% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1148 | 18% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1073 | 36% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 1073 | 38% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1104 | 1117 | 48% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 707 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1057 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 995.6 vs 1063 has a 40.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).