An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-07-20 | | Lost |
| 833 | 1028 | 25% | 2022-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2022-07-21 | | Won |
| 1028 | 833 | 75% | 2022-07-16 | | Won |
| 833 | 1028 | 25% | 2022-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 933 | 62% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2020-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-05-26 | | Won |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2020-05-26 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1068 | 55% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1109 | 25% | 2016-02-28 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1267 | 13% | 2015-03-29 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1267 | 13% | 2015-03-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1039 | 42% | 2014-08-23 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2011-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
| 973 | 1183 | 23% | 2009-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1183 | 26% | 2007-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-03-30 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2004-10-24 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-02-23 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1068 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 995.4 vs 1063.2 has a 40.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).