Two Pounds in Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 4
Defender wins (German ): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2023-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1118 | 54% | 2017-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2015-10-21 | | Won |
| 1035 | 916 | 66% | 2015-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2001-01-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1167 | 31% | 2000-10-28 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2000-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1074 | 62% | 1999-01-25 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 1999-01-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1071.4 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).