The Eternal City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (4 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1227 | 1219 | 51% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2007-11-18 | Won |
977 | 1011 | 45% | 2006-07-13 | Lost |
1042 | 893 | 70% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1089.3 vs 1042 has a 56.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).