Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 886 | 57% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1090 | 28% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1113 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1013 | 1078 | 41% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 989 | 56% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1194 | 916 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1268 | 1186 | 62% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1268 | 1162 | 65% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1090 | 45% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 886 | 614 | 83% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1006 | 61% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1194 | 901 | 84% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1342 | 16% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1077 | 1003 | 60% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1024 has a 53.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).