Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1077 | 33% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1132 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1012 | 46% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1238 | 957 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1257 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1257 | 1264 | 49% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 960 | 613 | 88% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1023 | 934 | 63% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 927 | 65% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1238 | 901 | 87% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1285 | 21% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1055 | 79% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1181 | 934 | 81% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1023.6 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).