Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 903 | 54% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1090 | 28% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1113 | 47% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1177 | 916 | 82% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1279 | 1186 | 63% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1279 | 1150 | 68% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1090 | 45% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 903 | 614 | 84% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1006 | 63% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1177 | 901 | 83% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1342 | 16% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 986 | 982 | 51% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1022.6 has a 53.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).