Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 891 | 56% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 930 | 1100 | 27% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1109 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1078 | 45% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 960 | 60% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 918 | 79% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1270 | 1186 | 62% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1270 | 1213 | 58% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1090 | 43% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 614 | 83% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 973 | 1006 | 45% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1153 | 901 | 81% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1330 | 17% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1056 | 83% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 805 | 1006 | 24% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1093 | 1083 | 51% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1035.8 has a 48.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).