Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1078 | 30% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1205 | 30% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1190 | 1186 | 51% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1190 | 1310 | 33% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1047 | 42% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 613 | 87% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 944 | 66% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 900 | 76% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1279 | 22% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1055 | 78% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 958 | 58% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1047 | 1101 | 42% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1030.1 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).