Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 885 | 57% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1108 | 26% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1131 | 47% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1078 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1007 | 50% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 915 | 76% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1225 | 1184 | 56% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1225 | 1238 | 48% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 999 | 1091 | 37% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 885 | 613 | 83% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1217 | 35% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 984 | 67% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2005-09-01 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1018 | 87% | 2002-06-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 901 | 77% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1347 | 10% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1347 | 959 | 90% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 956 | 984 | 46% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1038.5 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).