Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (27 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 77
Defender wins (German): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2025-11-06 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2025-09-16 | | Lost |
| 931 | 1136 | 24% | 2025-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1064 | 66% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 963 | 1078 | 34% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1126 | 40% | 2023-12-08 | | Won |
| 1152 | 912 | 80% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1000 | 84% | 2016-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1151 | 68% | 2015-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2014-08-23 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2009-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2009-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-08-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2005-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1018 | 87% | 2002-06-23 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2002-06-22 | | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | | Won |
| 959 | 1348 | 10% | 2000-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 959 | 90% | 2000-10-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2000-04-09 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2000-01-15 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1999-10-21 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1029 has a 55.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).