A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1081 | 52% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1103 | 1073 | 54% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1999-11-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1249 | 35% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1054 | 1035 | 53% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 863 | 75% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1073.5 has a 43.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).