A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1081 | 52% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-06-24 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1023 | 61% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1999-11-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1264 | 33% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 1032 | 48% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 865 | 71% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1057.9 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).