A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
1050 | 1082 | 45% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
1014 | 1012 | 50% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
1014 | 863 | 70% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1010 has a 54.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).