A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1078 | 53% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1342 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-06-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1020 | 46% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1999-11-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1263 | 33% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1077 | 1031 | 57% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1077 | 865 | 77% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1056.7 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).