Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 6
Defender wins (Italian / German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 964 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1025 | 75% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1003 | 994 | 51% | 2001-06-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1342 | 14% | 2000-12-14 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 997 vs 1100.2 has a 35.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).