Cutler's Cross
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (7 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1077 | 50% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2023-03-21 | Won |
1257 | 1264 | 49% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
1336 | 1029 | 85% | 2021-08-27 | Won |
959 | 1089 | 32% | 2014-05-30 | Lost |
928 | 958 | 46% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
1125 | 1015 | 65% | 2000-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1123.4 vs 1084.7 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).