The Golovchino Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (5 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
1026 | 1005 | 53% | 2005-05-27 | Lost |
989 | 949 | 56% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-02-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1035.6 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).