The Golovchino Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1123 | 38% | 2024-07-18 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1127 | 49% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 1009 | 68% | 2005-05-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 999 | 58% | 2005-05-14 | Won |
| 989 | 907 | 62% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 2003-06-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-02-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1152 | 26% | 2001-10-05 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1057.9 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).