The Golovchino Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2024-07-18 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
| 1235 | 1048 | 75% | 2005-05-27 | Lost |
| 991 | 1068 | 39% | 2005-05-14 | Won |
| 987 | 958 | 54% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1048 | 63% | 2003-06-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-02-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1140 | 27% | 2001-10-05 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1231 | 57% | 2000-05-26 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1102.2 vs 1092.1 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).