The Golovchino Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (10 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2024-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1167 | 30% | 2008-10-16 | | Won |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2005-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2005-05-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2005-03-11 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2003-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-02-12 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1141 | 27% | 2001-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2000-05-26 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1037.2 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).