Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (10 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 906 | 66% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1061 | 39% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1160 | 1065 | 63% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 890 | 82% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 1275 | 20% | 2008-05-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-05-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 999 | 65% | 2004-12-31 | Won |
| 1046 | 1073 | 46% | 2003-12-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2002-11-07 | Lost |
| 897 | 906 | 49% | 2002-10-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1053 has a 51.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).