Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (13 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2025-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2018-08-18 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1080 | 61% | 2012-06-18 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2008-05-27 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2004-12-31 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2003-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2002-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2002-10-24 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1050.2 has a 56.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).