Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Gurkha): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1091 | 33% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1040 | 45% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 954 | 1198 | 20% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1028 | 63% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1320 | 1075 | 80% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1153 | 33% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1106 | 43% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1051 | 1114 | 41% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1067 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 918 | 1018 | 36% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1061 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 940 | 1026 | 38% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1030 | 67% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1057 | 51% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1049 | 39% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1152 | 36% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1074 | 45% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1040 | 55% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1275 | 30% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1123 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1073 | 63% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 906 | 47% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1128 | 1189 | 41% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1067 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).