Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 183 (36 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 97
Defender wins (Gurkha): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1064 | 34% | 2025-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 933 | 62% | 2024-05-16 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2024-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1111 | 76% | 2021-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-06-24 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2020-10-17 | | Won |
| 1043 | 1120 | 39% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2017-11-19 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1178 | 33% | 2017-10-20 | | Won |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2013-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1147 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1011 | 40% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2009-06-29 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2007-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2007-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2007-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-10-03 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2007-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2007-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1077 | 44% | 2007-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2007-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2007-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2004-06-06 | | Lost |
| 883 | 965 | 38% | 2004-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2004-03-06 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1133 | 54% | 2003-12-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2003-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1053 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).