For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (12 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1002 | 51% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1047 | 73% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1056 | 53% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 958 | 1004 | 43% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1400 | 16% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1284 | 30% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1181 | 31% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
| 1154 | 1047 | 65% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
| 961 | 1138 | 27% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1122.3 has a 42.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).