For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (13 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1208 | 1139 | 60% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1027 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1075 | 51% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 938 | 1007 | 40% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1416 | 15% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1293 | 27% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1196 | 28% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 922 | 63% | 2006-06-04 | Won |
| 1157 | 1139 | 53% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
| 997 | 1123 | 33% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1122.9 has a 42.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).