Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 42
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 993 | 38% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 927 | 903 | 53% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1413 | 1174 | 80% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1413 | 1094 | 86% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1039 | 40% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1094.2 vs 1012.8 has a 61.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).