Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1044 | 57% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1094 | 43% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1112 | 35% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 971 | 41% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1119 | 32% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 925 | 905 | 53% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1435 | 1004 | 92% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1435 | 1070 | 89% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2006-02-15 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1032.1 has a 57.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).