Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (17 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (Chinese): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1143 | 1131 | 52% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
1027 | 1055 | 46% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
993 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
1094 | 968 | 67% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
1089 | 1100 | 48% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
888 | 1031 | 31% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
1001 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
1012 | 749 | 82% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | Lost |
982 | 1181 | 24% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
1119 | 1116 | 50% | 2005-04-16 | Lost |
1142 | 1152 | 49% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
1035 | 1015 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
1117 | 938 | 74% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1039.6 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).