Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (16 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 59
Defender wins (Chinese): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
| 1002 | 1010 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1093 | 968 | 67% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1100 | 43% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 888 | 1020 | 32% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 1035 | 48% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1116 | 46% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 755 | 81% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1160 | 26% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
| 1117 | 1062 | 58% | 2005-04-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1161 | 47% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1024 | 51% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 947 | 71% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1028.3 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).