Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (18 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 46
Defender wins (Chinese): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 976 | 67% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1032 | 49% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 968 | 69% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1029 | 1183 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 889 | 1084 | 25% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
| 1079 | 1011 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 731 | 77% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1206 | 23% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 1051 | 64% | 2007-09-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1091 | 47% | 2005-04-16 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 939 | 74% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1035.5 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).