Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1174 | 24% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 954 | 845 | 65% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1153 | 1243 | 37% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 943 | 1068 | 33% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 923 | 62% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1049.8 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).