Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (11 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1000 | 82% | 2017-09-04 | | Won |
| 840 | 889 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | | Won |
| 997 | 1185 | 25% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1286 | 16% | 2009-02-17 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1023 | 37% | 2006-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1003 | 836 | 72% | 2006-04-10 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-06-13 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1032 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).