Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1080 | 53% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 989 | 53% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1220 | 933 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 846 | 998 | 29% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1124 | 1311 | 25% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1040 | 35% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1014 | 56% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1062.3 has a 48.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).