Los Ejercitos Nuevos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Spanish Nationalist): 2
Defender wins (Spanish Republican): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-02-28 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1069 | 25% | 2018-05-25 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1164 | 18% | 2018-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1262 | 1000 | 82% | 2009-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1140 | 54% | 2001-12-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2001-09-10 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 1996-10-05 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1095 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1026.7 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).