The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 968 | 64% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1153 | 23% | 2022-03-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1050 | 42% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 1025 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 1025 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1076 | 1147 | 40% | 2013-06-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1147 | 51% | 2013-05-20 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1057.6 has a 46.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).