The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 970 | 60% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1164 | 22% | 2022-03-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1060 | 41% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 942 | 66% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 942 | 66% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1039 | 1126 | 38% | 2013-06-12 | Won |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2013-05-20 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1037.2 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).