Joseph 351
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (37 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allies): 45
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1213 | 1093 | 67% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-05-10 | Lost |
1027 | 1091 | 41% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
1019 | 981 | 55% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
1113 | 1093 | 53% | 2022-03-24 | Tied |
1427 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
925 | 1043 | 34% | 2021-08-03 | Won |
1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
1427 | 1427 | 50% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
1003 | 968 | 55% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
1002 | 1093 | 37% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
899 | 1004 | 35% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-07-24 | Lost |
960 | 1020 | 41% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
1034 | 881 | 71% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
978 | 1093 | 34% | 2013-09-26 | Won |
1046 | 1093 | 43% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
963 | 990 | 46% | 2011-12-21 | Lost |
1046 | 1093 | 43% | 2011-04-24 | Won |
1007 | 1115 | 35% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
1022 | 889 | 68% | 2010-09-28 | Lost |
895 | 1216 | 14% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2010-02-24 | Tied |
1216 | 914 | 85% | 2009-12-23 | Lost |
1017 | 1115 | 36% | 2008-12-10 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1055.3 has a 50.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).