Joseph 351
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (39 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allies): 40
Defender wins (German): 53
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Allies): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2026-06-28 | D | Won |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2025-06-09 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-10-13 | | Won |
| 1288 | 1000 | 84% | 2024-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 980 | 73% | 2022-08-20 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-03-24 | | Tied |
| 1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-04 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-11-09 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1172 | 46% | 2021-09-26 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1043 | 34% | 2021-08-03 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2019-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2017-07-15 | | Won |
| 1034 | 889 | 70% | 2016-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-10-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-04-10 | | Won |
| 1002 | 950 | 57% | 2014-03-12 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2013-09-26 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-02-14 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-04-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2011-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-09-28 | | Lost |
| 885 | 1215 | 13% | 2010-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-02-24 | | Tied |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 906 | 65% | 2008-12-10 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-12-08 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-05-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1019.7 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).