Early Battles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (45 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1032 | 44% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 1270 | 20% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-09-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1096 | 36% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Tied |
| 753 | 946 | 25% | 2022-09-03 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1025 | 56% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 1016 | 52% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 993 | 53% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 985 | 54% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1108 | 852 | 81% | 2021-03-24 | Won |
| 999 | 852 | 70% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1016 | 969 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 992 | 942 | 57% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2020-11-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 848 | 84% | 2020-07-29 | Won |
| 1163 | 1106 | 58% | 2020-06-11 | Won |
| 1106 | 1229 | 33% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 947 | 848 | 64% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-01-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2019-11-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1224 | 25% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2018-06-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1165 | 31% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1004 | 54% | 2017-01-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1086 | 49% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2016-08-20 | Tied |
| 1209 | 1216 | 49% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1066 | 38% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-12-31 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1034.1 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).