Armstrong's Broken Lance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 944 | 76% | 2023-09-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1180 vs 972 has a 76.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).