Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 213 (62 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 113
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 948 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1127 | 36% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1156 | 1158 | 50% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1156 | 51% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1210 | 35% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1166 | 63% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1063 | 36% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1256 | 741 | 95% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 885 | 87% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1104 | 1130 | 46% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 951 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1256 | 937 | 86% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 934 | 1030 | 37% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1330 | 15% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1044 | 47% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1153 | 32% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1026 | 30% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1154 | 934 | 78% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 934 | 973 | 44% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 881 | 1035 | 29% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 934 | 973 | 44% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1203 | 28% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 985 | 1061 | 39% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1056 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 916 | 1008 | 37% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 934 | 1131 | 24% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1020 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 934 | 1131 | 24% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 934 | 1065 | 32% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1050 | 27% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 916 | 1180 | 18% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1081 | 42% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 897 | 1152 | 19% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 937 | 955 | 47% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1054.8 has a 46.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).