Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 218 (66 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 118
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1066 | 49% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-10-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 948 | 53% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 1164 | 41% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 940 | 1102 | 28% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1241 | 31% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1165 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1016 | 43% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1184 | 734 | 93% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 869 | 88% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1139 | 39% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 949 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1184 | 1156 | 54% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1018 | 45% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 969 | 1347 | 10% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1044 | 55% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1123 | 44% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1082 | 24% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 999 | 62% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 981 | 975 | 51% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 981 | 975 | 51% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 1099 | 41% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 959 | 51% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1233 | 25% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 1008 | 50% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 981 | 1084 | 36% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1084 | 36% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1146 | 28% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1063 | 1010 | 58% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1070 | 25% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1344 | 28% | 2008-06-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1167 | 1136 | 54% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1180 | 27% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1233 | 1141 | 63% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2007-08-26 | Lost |
| 1156 | 957 | 76% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1074 | 42% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1057.3 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).