Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 213 (62 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 101
Defender wins (Italian / German): 112
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 948 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1033 | 48% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1115 | 38% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 995 | 1022 | 46% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 1150 | 56% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1189 | 47% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1242 | 31% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1166 | 64% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1046 | 38% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1268 | 747 | 95% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 906 | 86% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 951 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 764 | 1048 | 16% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1324 | 15% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1044 | 48% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1127 | 37% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1032 | 30% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 764 | 974 | 23% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 881 | 1037 | 29% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 764 | 974 | 23% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1181 | 31% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 985 | 1020 | 45% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1056 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 932 | 1008 | 39% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1020 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 764 | 1060 | 15% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1009 | 56% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 882 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1118 | 20% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1136 | 37% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1180 | 19% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1081 | 44% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 897 | 1152 | 19% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 955 | 51% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1053.4 has a 44.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).