Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 204 (55 on the archive and 149 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 96
Defender wins (Italian / German): 108
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1096 | 49% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
1016 | 1012 | 51% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
1003 | 1142 | 31% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
1104 | 1327 | 22% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
1175 | 1168 | 51% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
987 | 992 | 49% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1175 | 804 | 89% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
1284 | 905 | 90% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
1045 | 1131 | 38% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
984 | 952 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
1175 | 987 | 75% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
983 | 1023 | 44% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
1026 | 1261 | 21% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
998 | 1198 | 24% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
998 | 1044 | 43% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
881 | 998 | 34% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
982 | 999 | 48% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
983 | 973 | 51% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
934 | 1036 | 36% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
983 | 973 | 51% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
1016 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
980 | 912 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
1190 | 1055 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
1044 | 1227 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
994 | 1007 | 48% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
1107 | 1019 | 62% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
1093 | 1013 | 61% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
1001 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
1087 | 1007 | 61% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
988 | 879 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
1062 | 1135 | 40% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
994 | 1180 | 26% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
1083 | 1084 | 50% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
987 | 955 | 55% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1045.9 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).