Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 215 (64 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 115
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1076 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2024-10-21 | Lost |
| 1026 | 949 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1159 | 32% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1177 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1177 | 48% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1180 | 39% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1165 | 66% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1052 | 38% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1282 | 756 | 95% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 880 | 87% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 949 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1282 | 1020 | 82% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1011 | 47% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1342 | 14% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1044 | 51% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1139 | 37% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1049 | 28% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1118 | 53% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1077 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 991 | 975 | 52% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 991 | 975 | 52% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 995 | 48% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1056 | 71% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 959 | 1008 | 43% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 1098 | 35% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1009 | 52% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1097 | 22% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 959 | 1180 | 22% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1081 | 45% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1233 | 1140 | 63% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 955 | 59% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1057.8 has a 48.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).