Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 215 (64 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 115
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1084 | 46% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-10-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 948 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1174 | 30% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 965 | 1014 | 43% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1203 | 1160 | 56% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1203 | 44% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1216 | 34% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1164 | 66% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 962 | 1050 | 38% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1281 | 735 | 96% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 881 | 87% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1086 | 1130 | 44% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 958 | 54% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1281 | 1002 | 83% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1341 | 14% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1174 | 29% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1018 | 31% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1031 | 72% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1118 | 55% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1066 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 974 | 58% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 882 | 1035 | 29% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 974 | 58% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1188 | 30% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1056 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1043 | 1008 | 55% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1117 | 38% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1020 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1117 | 38% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1079 | 43% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1008 | 56% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 1136 | 42% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1180 | 31% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1081 | 39% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1226 | 1151 | 61% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 955 | 57% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1117 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1060.5 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).