Out of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2026-03-11 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-04-07 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2025-01-03 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1294 | 16% | 2024-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-02-26 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-09-19 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-08-24 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2013-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2008-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-27 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-09-28 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1036.5 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).