On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (26 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 991 | 57% | 2025-10-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1202 | 46% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1006 | 42% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1017 | 1167 | 30% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1420 | 24% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1243 | 900 | 88% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1046 | 1087 | 44% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1244 | 20% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1126 | 59% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 995 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 855 | 75% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 945 | 1046 | 36% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1078 | 60% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 738 | 997 | 18% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1008 | 72% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1342 | 20% | 2008-01-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1259 | 22% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1347 | 1174 | 73% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1099.2 has a 42.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).