On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (23 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1211 | 51% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 981 | 971 | 51% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1094 | 39% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1420 | 30% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 896 | 83% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1088 | 44% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 1048 | 50% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 971 | 1243 | 17% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1088 | 64% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1089 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 879 | 72% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 947 | 1045 | 36% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 757 | 997 | 20% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1009 | 77% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1259 | 22% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1219 | 67% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1086.9 has a 44.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).