On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (23 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 1063 | 69% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1020 | 44% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1135 | 895 | 80% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1050 | 47% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1110 | 61% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 889 | 71% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1029 | 38% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 733 | 997 | 18% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1206 | 1005 | 76% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 739 | 1151 | 9% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1284 | 19% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1206 | 69% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1081.5 has a 45.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).