On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (25 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 69
Defender wins (German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 991 | 51% | 2025-10-12 | Lost |
| 1238 | 975 | 82% | 2025-10-04 | Won |
| 967 | 969 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1017 | 1073 | 42% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1421 | 27% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1190 | 900 | 84% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 983 | 1087 | 35% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1047 | 41% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1243 | 17% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1110 | 61% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 995 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 851 | 75% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1031 | 52% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 983 | 45% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 754 | 997 | 20% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1238 | 1010 | 79% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1344 | 20% | 2008-01-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1259 | 22% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 1238 | 65% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1079.5 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).