Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (4 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1002.3 vs 991.5 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).