Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (3 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1038 | 63% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1175 | 897 | 83% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1005 | 66% | 2009-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1141.7 vs 980 has a 71.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).