Unexpected Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (4 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2025-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 954 | 77% | 2013-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1006 | 72% | 2009-06-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1083.5 vs 1013 has a 60.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).