Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1110 | 46% | 2019-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 932 | 63% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 964 | 899 | 59% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 1191 | 25% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1020 | 66% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
| 1070 | 985 | 62% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1056.4 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).