The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2025-07-12 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2018-03-31 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-02-18 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-18 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1021 | 61% | 2008-08-06 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1060 | 68% | 2008-06-15 | | Won |
| 827 | 980 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2008-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2008-03-22 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1056.2 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).