The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 993 | 899 | 63% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1115 | 51% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 829 | 980 | 30% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 977 | 1412 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1060.9 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).