The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1118 | 51% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 827 | 980 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1415 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1068.7 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).