The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
959 | 896 | 59% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
1142 | 1165 | 47% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
831 | 980 | 30% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
979 | 1360 | 10% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1065.8 has a 43.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).