The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 967 | 76% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1111 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 951 | 899 | 57% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1115 | 57% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 999 | 73% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 829 | 980 | 30% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 977 | 1400 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1126 | 35% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1064.5 has a 49.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).