Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 1101 | 25% | 2025-02-03 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-02-20 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1000 | 84% | 2019-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2019-09-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2016-02-03 | | Lost |
| 874 | 1089 | 22% | 2015-06-26 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2014-03-11 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1101 | 31% | 2010-11-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1044.5 has a 44.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).