Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1118 | 38% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1215 | 1097 | 66% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 847 | 84% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 915 | 1242 | 13% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1071 | 1067 | 51% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1139 | 31% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 883 | 868 | 52% | 2014-03-11 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1062.7 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).