Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1041 | 43% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1119 | 38% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1216 | 1094 | 67% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 1194 | 828 | 89% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 994 | 1216 | 22% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 1067 | 50% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 885 | 869 | 52% | 2014-03-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1051.2 has a 49.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).