ASL Scenario Archive

First Cristot

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (British): 14

Defender wins (German (SS)): 23

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (British): 0

Defender wins (German (SS)): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1055	1009	57%	2024-09-16	Lost
954	954	50%	2024-06-23	Won
1010	993	52%	2023-02-27	Won
1055	1009	57%	2022-12-18	Won
1189	1001	75%	2020-10-08	Lost
1196	944	81%	2020-04-07	Lost
1145	1158	48%	2018-04-10	Lost
1118	1217	36%	2018-04-07	Lost
968	1047	39%	2017-10-07	Lost
853	1154	15%	2017-06-22	Lost
1023	964	58%	2016-08-20	Lost
1017	1035	47%	2016-04-28	Won
1046	1080	45%	2016-03-19	Lost
1123	1140	48%	2015-08-10	Won
1016	907	65%	2015-06-06	Tied
1014	1113	36%	2015-03-06	Won
1072	1123	43%	2015-02-10	Lost
1123	1072	57%	2015-02-10	Won
938	1242	15%	2014-01-13	Lost
1123	1110	52%	2013-04-11	Won
1138	1138	50%	2012-12-08	Lost
1078	1109	46%	2012-09-25	Lost
1100	980	67%	2012-07-05	Lost
1033	975	58%	2012-03-24	Lost
1021	1013	51%	2011-03-12	Lost
875	996	33%	2011-02-12	Lost
984	1063	39%	2011-01-19	Lost
920	920	50%	2009-07-07	Lost
1095	1100	49%	2009-04-18	Lost
1100	1095	51%	2009-04-13	Won
1092	1117	46%	2009-02-07	Won
1340	1286	58%	2009-01-07	Won
1091	1117	46%	2008-12-05	Won
1023	1017	51%	2008-11-09	Lost
1063	1228	28%	2008-10-25	Won
890	1073	26%	2008-10-09	Won
1228	1133	63%	2008-09-05	Lost
739	1151	9%	2008-06-30	Lost
1118	1217	36%		Lost

Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1076.9 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).