First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1218 | 968 | 81% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1177 | 945 | 79% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1217 | 26% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1052 | 38% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1116 | 18% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 1080 | 47% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1140 | 41% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1072 | 1122 | 43% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1072 | 57% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1081 | 56% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1107 | 49% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 979 | 67% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 975 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 875 | 988 | 34% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1252 | 1287 | 45% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1006 | 50% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 891 | 1075 | 26% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1217 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1072.7 has a 45.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).