First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (32 on the archive and 133 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 87
Defender wins (German (SS)): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
1099 | 1284 | 26% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
1069 | 992 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
856 | 1204 | 12% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
1109 | 1137 | 46% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
1037 | 1128 | 37% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
1128 | 1037 | 63% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
938 | 1160 | 22% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
989 | 1115 | 33% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
1097 | 838 | 82% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
1033 | 973 | 59% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1013 | 61% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
881 | 1021 | 31% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
1307 | 1287 | 53% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
1003 | 1011 | 49% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
1066 | 1227 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
887 | 1108 | 22% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1075.6 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).