First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1159 | 955 | 76% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1218 | 26% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 1079 | 45% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1140 | 42% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1031 | 1131 | 36% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1042 | 1140 | 36% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1042 | 64% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1236 | 15% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1108 | 53% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 941 | 72% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 975 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 875 | 988 | 34% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 955 | 54% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2009-04-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1118 | 46% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1251 | 1286 | 45% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 998 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1006 | 50% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1233 | 27% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 893 | 1040 | 30% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1218 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1062.6 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).