First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1031 | 73% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1202 | 944 | 82% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1220 | 31% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1048 | 39% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1095 | 1080 | 52% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1142 | 57% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1252 | 14% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1153 | 44% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1093 | 45% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 994 | 65% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 973 | 59% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 852 | 997 | 30% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1313 | 1285 | 54% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1099 | 23% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1220 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1080.5 has a 44.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).