First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 989 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1200 | 945 | 81% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1219 | 32% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1052 | 38% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1080 | 53% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1140 | 57% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1005 | 1143 | 31% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1275 | 13% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 974 | 67% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 974 | 58% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 875 | 996 | 33% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 985 | 982 | 50% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1329 | 1285 | 56% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 987 | 1015 | 46% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1118 | 21% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-06-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1219 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1081.2 has a 44.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).