Ripples on the Pond
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 983 | 42% | 2023-09-25 | Won |
1087 | 1056 | 54% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
1058 | 980 | 61% | 2022-03-08 | Lost |
1427 | 925 | 95% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
925 | 1141 | 22% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
1429 | 1427 | 50% | 2021-04-09 | Won |
982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
982 | 937 | 56% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2020-09-29 | Won |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
1178 | 992 | 74% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
1137 | 1126 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
959 | 998 | 44% | 2020-02-16 | Lost |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
1026 | 983 | 56% | 2017-12-21 | Lost |
881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
881 | 983 | 36% | 2016-09-05 | Tied |
1033 | 1115 | 38% | 2011-07-13 | Tied |
1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
1040 | 1045 | 49% | 2009-07-14 | Lost |
871 | 1003 | 32% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1030.5 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).