Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (10 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1094 | 51% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1171 | 45% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1174 | 45% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1079 | 39% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1100 | 62% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1071.8 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).