Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (9 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1156 | 47% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1115 | 56% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 998 | 878 | 67% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1162 | 52% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1073.4 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).