Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (9 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1049 | 45% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1080 | 43% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1148 | 48% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 878 | 57% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1065 | 41% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1162 | 52% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1073.4 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).