Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (14 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (Polish): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 1022 | 69% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
1087 | 1138 | 43% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1018 | 1138 | 33% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1003 | 1307 | 15% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
931 | 1050 | 34% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
974 | 1062 | 38% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
1117 | 1019 | 64% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1020 | 1062 | 44% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
1003 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
989 | 1197 | 23% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1107.2 has a 39.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).