Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1053 | 67% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1026 | 66% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
| 1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1126 | 35% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1316 | 14% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
| 930 | 1058 | 32% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
| 976 | 1010 | 45% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1018 | 66% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1082 | 50% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1002 | 987 | 52% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1100.2 has a 44.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).