Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1039 | 68% | 2022-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1134 | 39% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1219 | 24% | 2017-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1141 | 38% | 2012-10-03 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1031 | 66% | 2012-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2011-10-07 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1019 | 73% | 2011-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2011-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2010-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1035 | 46% | 2009-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2009-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1201 | 27% | 2008-10-23 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1117 has a 40.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).